NFL
February 3, 2021

5 Reasons Why the Kansas City Chiefs Will Win Super Bowl 55

With the betting line at three points and the over/under at 56.5 points, we could be on the verge of an entertaining and memorable Super Bowl.

In fact, the regular-season meeting between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers gave us a game with over 50 points scored that was ultimately decided by just a field goal. Of course, the Chiefs are the favorites to win, and they’ve been favored to win the Super Bowl for most of the season. By doing so, they can join the exclusive list of teams that have won back-to-back Super Bowls, becoming the first in more than a decade to accomplish such a feat.

Let’s take a closer look at why Kansas City is favored and why the Chiefs will win Super Bowl 55.

Patrick Mahomes

We’ll start with the biggest reason why the Chiefs are favored to win their second straight Super Bowl. Since he became Kansas City’s starter, there’s no quarterback who’s been better than Mahomes. When he’s at his best, it’s almost impossible for opposing defenses to keep him contained. Mahomes proved that in last year’s Super Bowl when he led the Chiefs to 21 points in the fourth quarter to complete a comeback win. He’s done nothing in the year since that to prove otherwise.

Naturally, there were some questions about Mahomes after the Divisional Round when he was in the NFL’s concussion protocol and had a toe injury. But he was cleared before the AFC Championship Game and didn’t appear to be limited in a significant way by the toe problem. There’s no reason to think that Mahomes will be anything but his best for the Super Bowl, which means he’ll be a handful for the Tampa Bay defense.

After the Chiefs lost only one game this season when Mahomes played, it’s clear there’s no formula for stopping him, which is why the Chiefs have a serious advantage over Tom Brady and the Bucs.

Tyreek Hill

Obviously, the Chiefs have plenty of dangerous skill players, including Travis Kelce, who is probably the best tight end in football right now. However, Hill is still the biggest difference-maker on the Kansas City offense outside of Mahomes. He needs to be accounted for on every play and alters the way that opposing defenses have to play against the Chiefs. With his speed, he’s a threat to go deep on every play and can also make plays after the catch.

The AFC Championship Game against Buffalo was a perfect example of the threat Hill poses. The Bills have one of the best cornerbacks in the NFL in Tre’Davious White, not to mention two outstanding safeties. But even with such an incredible secondary, the Bills had no answer for Hill. He got loose on multiple occasions, including a 71-yard catch and run. That play was proof of how dangerous Hill can be on every single play.

While Kelce will make an impact on third down and in the red zone, Hill can turn an ordinary play into something special.

Superior Special Teams

If this game turns out to be as close as the three-point spread suggests, special teams could play an important role. Assuming that’s the case, the Chiefs will have an edge over the Bucs in a close game thanks to their special teams play.

Kicker Harrison Butker has been one of the best in the NFL all season, connecting on 25 of his 27 field goals. He also has serious range on his kicks, capable of concerting from nearly 60 yards away. In other words, the Chiefs don’t need to get too far past midfield to put points on the board.

At the same time, the Chiefs have two dangerous kick returners in Mecole Hardman and Byron Pringle. While Hardman had a costly fumble in the AFC Championship Game, that’s unlikely to happen two games in a row. Even if neither takes one back for a touchdown, the Chiefs can expect to set themselves up with good field position more times than not, which could prove invaluable in a close game.

Barring something unforeseen or another unexpected fumble, the Chiefs should have an advantage over the Buccaneers on special teams.

Andy Reid

Andy Reid and the entire Kansas City coaching staff appear to have an obvious advantage over Bruce Arians and the Tampa coaching staff. After all, Reid and most of his assistants were in this position last year. Meanwhile, Arians is short on playoff experience before this season and has never been to the Super Bowl as a head coach. The same can be said of Tampa’s coordinators, Byron Leftwich and Todd Bowles. Plus, Reid has a naturally calm demeanor, which should allow him and his team to handle the moment without nerves or foolish mistakes to hurt them.

On top of that experience, there’s no denying that Reid has been one of the best coaches in the NFL over the past few seasons. He knows his team well and he trusts them, especially when it comes to taking chances. Reid hasn’t been afraid to be aggressive, even during the playoffs, and he almost always knows the right buttons to push.

Super Bowl or not, we should expect that to continue with Reid being far more likely to make the kind of decision that wins the Chiefs the Super Bowl rather than lose it for them.

The Chiefs Are Peaking

During the second half of the season, there was reason to be skeptical about the Chiefs, who were constantly playing in close games and failing to put away teams. Over the final eight games of the regular season, the Chiefs failed to beat a team by more than six points, including a 27-24 win over the Bucs. That trend continued in the Divisional Round of the playoffs when Kansas City failed to put the Browns away, ultimately holding on for a five-point win.

However, we can put those fears to rest after the way the Chiefs dominated the Bills in the AFC Championship Game. Buffalo was supposed to have the kind of offense that could keep up with the Chiefs some trouble. Instead, it turned into one of Kansas City’s most impressive wins of the season. The Chiefs played a complete game and dominated on both sides of the ball in what was the most important game of the season up to that point. It was a strong indication that the Chiefs aren’t complacent and are fully focused on the task at hand.

At this point, if the Chiefs don’t beat themselves, the Bucs are going to have a hard time beating them straight up, which is why the Chiefs are poised to win their second straight Super Bowl.

Photo: Getty Images