NCAAF
November 17, 2021

Why There's No Chance the Georgia Bulldogs Lose in 2021

Georgia did not enter the season as the top-ranked team in the country, but after weeks of dominating every opponent who has lined up against them, the Bulldogs are the only team to be ranked No. 1 by the College Football Playoff committee this season. 

Even with some questions surrounding the quarterback position all season long, it has been pretty clear that Georgia is the only team worthy of the top spot in the rankings. The defense is on a historic pace, and the offense is top 10 in a lot of categories. 

With every team behind them showing some serious weaknesses, Georgia is the clear favorite to win the National Championship, and the gambling odds back that up.

On FanDuel, the Dawgs are -125 favorites to win their first championship since 1981. Behind them, Ohio State (+350) and Alabama (+450) are the only teams that are being given realistic odds to win it all. 

With a playoff spot practically locked up, FanDuel is now offering tremendous value for Georgia to win every remaining game this season, including the National Championship. Under the "Season Specials" tab on the FanDuel Sportsbook, you can get a boosted value for Georgia to finish the season 15-0, and win it all this season.

This seems like a no-brainer. With Georgia pretty much guaranteed to win out, here's why you should take advantage of this great future bet. 

Historic Defense

The Dawgs are the No. 1 defense in scoring (7.6), points per play (0.114), and opponents' red zone scoring percentage (55%). They are also second in yards (247.9), yards per play (3.7), yards per rush (2.5), rushing yards (78.7), and yards per pass (5.4). 

It remains to be seen if this is the greatest defense of all time, but they match up well against every historic defense.

They are allowing fewer points per game than the 2011 Alabama defense (8.2), fewer yards than the 2001 Miami Hurricanes (270.9), and talent-wise, Georgia has nine five-star players on the defensive side of that ball (including the suspended Adam Anderson). For reference, the Georgia defense has as many five-star players as the entire Pac-12 Conference.

That is just absolutely preposterous. 

What is even crazier is that they have allowed only eight touchdowns in 10 games, and five of those touchdowns have come in the 4th quarter when the outcome was already decided. The quality of the offenses they are playing is not great, but Georgia has gone up against four offenses that average 30+ points per game (Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, and Arkansas), and those teams scored an average of 8.5 points against Georgia. 

Simply put, teams do not have a prayer against this defense.

Can the Bulldogs Finally Beat Bama?

Unless a miracle happens, Georgia will face off against Alabama in the SEC Championship for the third time since 2017, and it will be their toughest test during the season (excluding playoffs). The Crimson Tide are third in scoring, eighth in yards, and 14th in yards per play. Alabama is 10th in total offense, and they are averaging 34 yards more per game than the best offense that Georgia has faced this season (Tennessee). 

Normally, Alabama should be favored to win the big games, but there has been a lot of sleepwalking for Alabama this season. Nick Saban's team has played three games this season that was decided by one score, and they are 2-1 against those teams. 

Collectively, those three teams (LSU, Florida, and Texas A&M) are allowing 23.2 points per game and 368.5 yards per game. In those three games, Alabama is scoring 29.6 points per game and averaging 336 yards. Those are both well below their season averages, and while LSU and Florida cannot be considered good teams, these are the three best teams they have played this season, and they look out of whack in those games.

But, What About The Offense?

The offense is not as dominant, but they have been extremely efficient. To be fair, the offense does not have to be good for Georgia to win. The defense will carry this team for about 75% of the game while the offense will make up the rest. 

Even with JT Daniels' injury, Kirby Smart was able to turn to Stetson Bennett, who played fairly well in 2020 while Georgia was still searching for their starter. On the season, Bennett is completing 65.1% of his passes for 1625 yards and has an average yards per attempt of 10.9, which is four yards more than last season. 

As a team, Georgia is ninth in scoring, third in yards per play, and fifth in yards per pass. The running game has also been highly efficient as they average just a tick under 200 yards per game and 5.2 yards per rush. This offense is not something to write home about, but they do just enough to not lose their games. 

Can Anyone Stop The Dawgs? 

The only way Georgia gets caught this season is if an explosive offense catches them on a bad day. Against Tennessee last week, Cedric Tillman caught 10 balls for 200 yards and a touchdown, but Tillman is the only player to make this defense look bad this season. 

Sure, they still have to play Alabama, and the possibility of playing the top-ranked offense in Ohio State is on the table. However, only Ohio State would scare me if I were Georgia. Ohio State is phenomenal in every phase of their offense. The quarterback, running backs, offensive line, and especially the wide receivers have been stupid-good this season.

Georgia has a chance to knock Alabama out of the playoffs with a win in the SEC Championship, and that leaves Ohio State as the only team that has the horses to beat this defense. Even then, it is not guaranteed that they will play each other this season. 

With all of that being said, taking the Dawgs at +160 to win every game this season is as close to a lock as you can get. 

Photo: Getty Images