Corrigan's Gambling Corner: College Football Week 8 Best Bets
Hello, and welcome back to Corrigan's Gambling Corner. It is Week 8 of the college football season and while there are no top 25 matchups this week, there is sure to be some chaos as there has been every week this season.
This college football season has been one of my best. I am currently still hitting at a 61% clip and I intend to raise that number before the season ends. The board is looking real favorable this weekend so let's go responsibly pick out some winners.
*Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Clemson at Pitt: UNDER 47.5
Clemson has only hit the over in one game this season, which is not surprising considering how abysmal the Clemson offense has been under D.J. Uiagalelei. On the season, the Tigers are ranked 124th in scoring, 122nd in total yards, and 115th in yards per play. This offense is just not good enough to do anything.
Luckily for Clemson, the defense is still playing at a pretty high level. They are only giving up 14.4 points per game and are 27th in yards allowed per game (335). The Tigers will have their hands full against Kenny Pickett and the 5th ranked scoring team in the country, but this game will come down to which defense breakdown first. Pitt is also playing at a very high level defensively.
It is amazing to think that Clemson's offense is just not good enough to push this game over, but that is exactly what will happen. Both defenses will show up and whichever offense can do a little better will win. This just means we should not expect a lot of scoring, so go with the under.
BYU (-3.5) at Washington State
Washington State is going to be without head coach Nick Rolovich and four assistants because, well, they got fired. It was not the most "popular decision" among a certain crowd so we will not go into that. All I know is, this is the perfect week to fade Washington State.
BYU gave up over 300 yards rushing last week and exposed an overachieving front seven that feasted on weak rushing attacks. However, Washington State is 111th in rushing yards per game and as a whole, the offense just isn't good enough. BYU's entire defense is suspect, but with how poor Washington State's offense has been all season, I really do not expect them to score very much in this one.
It will be an emotional game for Washington State and the talent advantage swings heavily towards BYU.
Oklahoma State ML (+210) at Iowa State
Yeah, you read that correctly, FanDuel currently has a top-10 team as a +210 road-underdog against Iowa State. The Cowboys are on a roll right now and they are right where everyone thought Iowa State would be at the beginning of the season. Iowa State is not a bad football team by any stretch, they were just overrated.
This is a trap, and I have looked far and wide to find the reasoning and I came up with nothing. We are taking the Pokes in this one, the value is too incredible to pass up.
LSU (+9.5) at Ole Miss
With Matt Corral likely out for the game, the Rebels will be without the Heisman favorite and the bulk of their offense. Corral had 30 carries for 195 yards against Tennessee last week so it is clear that Ole Miss is losing the majority of its offensive production.
It is likely that Luke Altmyer will get the start against a team that is also dealing with emotions surrounding their head coach. LSU coach Ed Orgeron announced that he will be stepping down as LSU's head coach after this season so in my brain, I am thinking that the players will like to play hard for him the rest of the way.
Either way, LSU's offense exploded for 454 total yards and 49 points in the win against Florida last week. If the Tigers can keep things moving on the ground in this game, and they should have no problem against the 111th ranked defense against the run, LSU will cover against a short-handed offense.
Oregon (+1.5) at UCLA
Oregon continues to find ways to just barely hang on against teams that should not be giving the Ducks a scare. The good news for Mario Cristobal's team is that this is a complete mismatch for UCLA.
The Bruins live and die on the ground. As a team, they are ranked 17th in yards per rush (5.3), 13th in rushing yards per game (227.6), and 15th in rush play percentage (62.2%). The passing numbers are pretty ugly and Dorian Thompson-Robinson is more of a glorified athlete playing quarterback for UCLA. On the other side, the Ducks are only giving up 3.7 yards per rush and 136.8 rushing yards per game.
If Oregon can neutralize Zach Charbonnet and Brittain Brown, UCLA does not really have a chance to go on long drives on offense. With how talented that Oregon front seven is, expect the Bruins to have trouble all night.
Ohio State (-20.5) at Indiana
The Buckeyes are one of the more efficient offenses in the country and they are well-rested coming off the bye.
As a team, Ohio State is ranked first in points per game (48.5), yards per game (562.7), and yards per play (8.4). While the defense was shaky to start the year, they have settled in nicely and you are starting to see the impact of that front seven. The Buckeyes are demolishing teams and although the strength of schedule is not great, you can physically see the improvements in all phases of the game.
Indiana just is not a great team right now and with Michael Penix Jr.'s injuries and struggles, there is no real identity on offense. The defense has been solid, but the Buckeye offense led by C.J. Stroud, Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, and TreVeyon Henderson is a different beast.
Although this game is in Indiana on primetime, the Buckeyes should roll in this one.
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