Corrigan's Gambling Corner: 3 College Basketball Best Bets: +595 Parlay Odds - March 8, 2022
Welcome back to the gambling corner. We are back with some best bets for another wonderful night on the college hoops.
A couple of Power Six conference tournaments are starting up today, but we still have one more day of mediocre games to get through before we get to the real action of tournament week.
Some teams have already punched their ticket to March Madness, and a few more teams will clinch tournament spots tonight. March Madness is on the horizon, but for now, we are going to do what we always do, and give out some winners before the best postseason in all of sports.
We would love you to tail our picks, but we would especially love you to make a lot of money. As a sign of courtesy, we included the parlay odds for all three of our picks. We just ask that you always remember to gamble responsibly.
Here are tonight's plays.
*Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
NC State Wolfpack vs. Clemson Tigers
Although NC State is scoring 73.3 points per game and they have a decently efficient offense, things have not gone well for the Wolfpack this season, and it starts with their defense. On the season, NC State's defense is ranked 308th in scoring, 322nd in effective field goal percentage, 336th in shooting percentage, and 325th in shooting efficiency.
Those are not good numbers.
The offense is efficient enough to keep them in most games, especially against a very "meh" Clemson team. The Tigers are actually a pretty good shooting team, as they are ranked 73rd in effective field goal percentage, 43rd in three-point shooting percentage, 70th in shooting percentage, and 58th in shooting efficiency.
Defensively, Clemson allows 68.4 points per game, and over their last four games, in which they are 3-1 ATS in that span, they are only allowing 63.2 points per game.
I wanted to roll with Clemson on the spread because of how bad NC State has been on the books this year, but the over has been profitable for both teams, and with two lackluster defenses and two solid shooting teams, I will be on the side of points tonight.
Pick: Over 143 (-110)
Wagner Seahawks vs. Bryant Bulldogs
Wagner lost starting point guard Elijah Ford last month, and they have not looked good since then. They are only 4-3 since Ford went down, and that includes a 78-70 loss to Bryant. Bryant is only 15-13-1 ATS this season, but they are 12-9 ATS when playing as a favorite, and they are 12-7 ATS in conference games this season.
These teams are a lot closer to each other than the spread indicates. Bryant is scoring 76.7 points per game, and they shoot the ball as well as most teams. On the other side, Wagner is putting up 74.5 points per game, and they are also a good shooting team. The big difference between these two comes on the defensive side of the ball.
Wagner is only allowing 65.2 points per game, and teams are only shooting 42.1% from the field against them. These two have played twice this season, with Wagner coming out on top with an 84-81 victory earlier in the year.
The Seahawks' defense makes me a little nervous tonight, but I truly believe that offenses rise to the occasion in conference tournament games, especially with a spot in the Big Dance on the line.
Pick: Over 149 (-110)
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Although Gonzaga is clearly the best team in the country, they are only 14-13-1 ATS this season, and the Zags have only covered once in their last five games. As I said yesterday, that is because the spread is always so large. Tonight, they are once again double-digit favorites for the 20th game in a row.
Saint Mary's has been a very profitable team, going 18-10-2 ATS this season. However, the Gaels are only 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are absolutely better than Saint Mary's on both offense and defense but do not be fooled, the Gaels are an exceptional team.
Saint Mary's is only putting up 69.6 points per game, but they are ranked 69th in effective field goal percentage, 71st in shooting efficiency, 47th in shooting percentage, and 79th in shooting efficiency. Their defense is only allowing 60.5 points per game, but against Gonzaga this season, they are allowing 70.5 points per game, and they are losing by an average of 13.5 points.
Because this is the WCC Championship game, I will ride with Saint Mary's. They are absolutely a tournament team, but an effective offense and elite defense getting 12.5 points seems like a no-brainer to me, right?
Pick: Saint Mary's +12.5 (-110)
PARLAY ODDS: (+595) 1 UNIT TO WIN 5.95 UNITS
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