December 15, 2021

Corrigan's Gambling Corner: 4 Best NBA Player Prop Bets - Dec. 15, 2021

Welcome back to the gambling corner. The NBA, and the world of sports are in a very interesting spot right now, but that will not stop this gambling train.

Tonight, we are back with the four best player props in the NBA. I will say as humbly as I can, my NBA player props have been money this season. 

With a lot of players out tonight due to COVID, there are a lot of interesting props on the board tonight. With all of that being said, here are tonight's winners. 

*Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks

Bobby Portis Over 18.5 Points (-106)

The Bucks are going to be without Donte DiVincenzo, Giannis Antetokounmpo, DeMarcus Cousins, Semi Ojeleye, Wesley Matthews, and Brook Lopez tonight. They can also be without Khris Middleton, who is listed as questionable as I am writing this.

Milwaukee has been hit hard with COVID, as has every sports team over the last week, and they are going to have to dig deep into their roster for some production tonight. With Bobby Portis enjoying one of the best seasons of his career, his points prop may be the best player prop on the board tonight.

Portis has hit this number in two out of his last three and has gone over this number seven times this season. Considering that he has played 24 games this season, those numbers are not overly impressive, but Milwaukee has one of the deepest teams in the NBA, so he is not getting a lot of touches per night.

Indiana's defense is solid, but the Pacers are allowing 47.9 points per game in the paint, and that is where Portis will thrive in this game. Simply put, the Bucks are without the majority of their production tonight, and those touches and shots have to go somewhere.

Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz

Royce O'Neale Over 5.5 Rebounds (+116)

The value with this prop seems a little high to me. Royce O'Neale is averaging five rebounds per game, and he has gone over this number 10 times in his 24 games played. O'Neale has not played over 30 minutes per game in his last three.

The Clippers are 20th in opponents rebounding, and the Clippers are 28th in points in the paint and 22nd in two-point shooting percentage. This tells me that there will be a lot of rebounding opportunities. Los Angeles will also be without Serge Ibaka, Paul George, and possibly Nicolas Batum tonight, so watch for the Jazz to demolish the Clippers on both ends of the court.

O'Neale also averaged 7.5 rebounds per game in the playoffs against the Clippers last season, so maybe he just has their number. Either way, I am more focused on the +116 value with this prop.

Houston Rockets at Cleveland Cavaliers

Jarrett Allen Over 29.5 Points + Rebounds (-122)

As it turns out, the Cleveland Cavaliers are awesome at the game of basketball. As a fan of the Cavs, this is an absolutely delightful sight. The majority of the praise can go to rookie Evan Mobley, and Darius Garland taking an extra step in his development, but Jarrett Allen has been an absolute monster for Cleveland fresh of a 5-year, $100 million extension this offseason.

Anyway, Allen is averaging 17.3 points and 11.1 rebounds this season, and since coming back from injury back in November, Allen is averaging 11.3 rebounds and 21 points per game. In other words, Allen's averages since he missed three games about a month ago would hit this number.

It also helps that the Rockets are 23rd in points in the paint allowed and 17th in rebounding. Allen has gone over this total in nine of his last 12, and he will do it again tonight against a Houston team that is without Kevin Porter Jr., Christian Wood, and Jalen Green.

Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers

Kyle Lowry Under 9.5 Assists Per Game (-106)

Let's just relax here. Kyle Lowry is an exceptional basketball player, and his first year with the Heat is going very well from a personal standpoint. However, betting on a guy to have at least 10 assists in a game is insane. I get that Lowry is averaging 8.0 assists per game, but the 76ers only allow 23.5 assists per game. Thinking Lowry would have 10 of those 23 assists in just out of this world.

I mean, Lowry has only gone over this number twice in his last seven, and four times in his last 13 games played. Where is this total coming from?

Miami will also be without Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, and Bam Adebayo tonight, so who is he going to pass the ball to? These two teams are also below the top 25 in terms of pace of play, so I don't know if the Heat will have enough offensive plays centered around Lowry for him to realistically reach this total.

Again, I am a big fan of Lowry, but I cannot bring myself to bet the over on this prop.

Parlay Odds: (+1384) 1 unit to win 13.8 units

Photo: Getty Images