March 22, 2022

Corrigan's Gambling Corner: NBA Player Prop Best Bets: +547 Parlay Odds - March 22, 2022

Hello, and welcome back to the gambling corner. We are back with our three favorite player props in the NBA tonight.

We are now on to Day 2 of no college basketball (the NIT absolutely does not count), but we do have a great night in the NBA. There are only four games tonight, but the matchups are really intriguing, and the player props look even better.

I always say it, but injuries and rest give the public a significant advantage on the player prop market. There are some key guys out tonight, and with most teams starting to lock up playoff spots, we will see big names start to rest up, opening the door for some role players to get some minutes, and become very valuable on the prop market.

All you have to do is relax, place some bets, watch some hoops, and have a damn good night. We would love for you to tail our picks. If you do so, please always remember to gamble responsibly.

*Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Golden State Warriors at Orlando Magic

Wendell Carter Over 16.5 Points (-108)

Not a lot has gone right for the Magic this season, but Carter has shown a lot of potential. He is averaging 15 points and 10.5 rebounds per game, and he is shooting 33.5% from deep, which is a career-high.

Carter certainly is not a prolific big-guy shooter, but he is continuing to improve from outside, and over his last four games, he is shooting 53.8% from three. He is also putting up 22.8 points over his last four, and he has hit this total in seven of his last nine, averaging 20.2 points on 60.2% shooting from the field during that span.

The Warriors have one of the best defenses in the NBA, but they also play at one of the fastest paces in the NBA, which means there are going to be more touches on both sides. Orlando is ranked ninth in pace of play while Golden State is 11th. That is a lot of touches that are going to go around, and since Carter has been so good for Orlando lately, he should get a lot of touches, which will result in a lot of shots.

Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Total Rebounds (-130)

it is going to be very hard to convince me that Jokic should not be the MVP for the second consecutive season. He is putting up 26.1 points, 13.6 rebounds, and 8.0 assists per game on 57% shooting from the field, and over his last 10 games, he is averaging 29.3 points and 12.3 rebounds per game. Obviously, we are solely focused on his rebounding totals, but there is no denying that Jokic is playing some of the best basketball of his career right now.

Over his last 10 games, the MVP has gone over this number five times, and in those five games, he is averaging 15 rebounds per game. In Jokic's three games against the Clippers this season, he is averaging 16.3 rebounds per game, and he has gone over this total in all three games.

It also helps us that the Clippers are one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA. On the season, Los Angeles is ranked 23rd in total rebounds allowed per game, 24th in defensive rebounds allowed, and last in offensive rebounds allowed per game. The Clippers are also only hauling in 51.6 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 22nd in the NBA.

Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks

Jrue Holiday Over 26.5 Points + Assists (-111)

This is a massive matchup in the NBA tonight, specifically in the East. The Bulls currently sit as the fifth seed in the East, just 2.5 games back of the Bucks, who are currently the three seed. With the season winding down, every game is important for seeding purposes, especially in a loaded conference.

The bad news for Milwaukee is that Khris Middleton, who turns into the best basketball player of all time when he is playing in a big game, is out with wrist soreness. While Giannis Antetokounmpo has been upgraded to probable for tonight, he is still dealing with a knee injury, so I would not expect him to be his fully healthy self. That leaves Milwaukee with Holiday as their best, fully-healthy player.

On the season, Holiday is putting up 18.4 points and 6.7 assists per game, and over his last four games, he is putting up 19.3 points and 6.0 assists per game. That would leave us slightly below the total, but with Middleton out, and Antetokounmpo banged up, there are more shots, and more touches to go around. Chicago also does not play good defense against guards, especially since Lonzo Ball went down with an injury earlier in the season.


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