Wisconsin Badgers vs. Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

 |  www.lines.com April 6, 2015 with 0 Comments

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Wisconsin Badgers vs. Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

PICK

The total for this game is posted at 139.5

Well, Wisconsin ended Kentucky’s run at a perfect season in the Final 4, but can they avenge an earlier season loss to Duke to win the National Title? I would say no. The Badgers were at home before the conference season began for them and they lost by 10 points to the Blue Devils.

Duke has had an impressive run to the title game and in 4 of their 5 games they have won by double figures including their last 2. They used a balanced attack in their Final 4 win over Michigan State where they shot 52% from the floor and held the Spartans to 40% shooting.

The Blue Devils have played great defense in the Big Dance holding opponents to an average of 55 ppg.

In their last games Wisconsin beat Kentucky 71-64 and Duke beat Michigan State 81-61.

On the season Wisconsin is 21-17-1 ATS with an O/U record of 19-20 and Duke is 23-14-1 ATS with an O/U record of 19-17.

This game is being held at a neutral site at the Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Duke comes into this title game cover the spread in every singe one of their tournament games. The Badgers did not cover the spread in their first 2 games in the tournament, but they have covered the spread in their last 3.

The Duke defense will be tested in this game by a Wisconsin offense that is averaging 80 ppg in the tournament and led by AP player of the year Frank Kaminsky. Kaminski and Sam Dekker are combined for 36 points in the win over Kentucky and they are the 2 players the Duke defense really has to worry about.

Wisconsin shot 47.9% from the field in the Final 4 facing a Kentucky defense that ranked 3rd in the nation in opponents’ points per game.

Wisconsin will face a Duke offense that ranks 4th in the nation in points per game and 3rd in team FG%.

Jahlil Okafor may be the #1 pick in the next NBA draft and he has been solid in the tournament for Duke. In the win over Michigan State he, Justise Winslow, and Quinn Cook combined for 54 points and each shot at least 50% from the floor.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends

Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games, and in their last 6 games the posted total has gone Over 5 times.

Duke is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and in their last 7 games the posted total has gone Under 6 times.

Bus Man’s Pick:

It is hard to beat a team twice in a season, but that is exactly what Duke will do tonight, as they will win and be crowned the National Champions.  

TimeTeamSCOpener 
4/06
8:18 PM
Wisconsin
Duke
63
68
140 -106
PK -104
140 -106
PK -106
139½ -106
-1 -115
139½ -114
+1 -105
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